Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Election Night's Hidden Story - The Exit Polls Were Wrong Again

This is a serious problem because exit polls give us a view of what the electorate was thinking. Kaus saw the problem early on today and does a scathing rebuke. See Election 2009: Were the Exit Polls Wrong Again?

On the other side of the aisle Contentions looks at the VA race where the exit polls were way off.

Bad Exit Polls Yet Again—and What They Might MeanJohn Podhoretz - 11.03.2009 - 9:21 PM
It appears the exit polls in Virginia may have underestimated the Republican vote by a considerable margin. Word around newsrooms had McDonnell winning by 14. McDonnell, it appears, may have won by 20 points. Tim Kaine, the governor of Virginia and the chairman of the Democratic National Committee, just cited exit poll data saying that President Obama scored a 56 percent approval rating among registered voters. Given the 33 percent discrepancy between the exit poll and the actual voting tally, one can presume that Obama has fallen considerably below a 50 percent approval rating in Virginia


Will these problems be corrected before 2010?

2 comments:

Chris Osgood said...

Something is weird in Ohio. We voted for a state constitutional (however it is spelled) ammendment for casinos. In the ammendment it says that there can only be 1 casino in 4 big cities in Ohio and they must be ran by one of two companies. And it passed cause it was majority.

First, I don't think it should pass by majority to win if its a state constitution, second it is now a monopoly so it shouldn't pass either.

Sorry, I just had to vent

James H said...

Gosh that is weird!!! In fact that the way is not to do it. I fyou set up Gambling you don't want to make it a monolopy.In Louisiana and Mississippi that is not like that. That is strange